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| #461690 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 PM 24.Sep.2011) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011 0300 UTC SUN SEP 25 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 58.4W AT 25/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......225NE 100SE 0SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 180SW 240NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 58.4W AT 25/0300Z AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 58.0W FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 18.9N 59.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...200NE 100SE 0SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 19.8N 61.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...200NE 100SE 0SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 20.6N 62.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...200NE 100SE 0SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 21.3N 63.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...200NE 90SE 0SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 23.0N 65.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...200NE 90SE 0SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 24.5N 65.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 26.5N 66.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 58.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
