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| #461753 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 AM 25.Sep.2011) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 18 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011 0900 UTC SUN SEP 25 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 59.5W AT 25/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......180NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 59.5W AT 25/0900Z AT 25/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 58.9W FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 19.1N 60.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...180NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 19.9N 61.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...180NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 20.7N 63.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...180NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 21.4N 64.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...180NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 22.8N 65.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...180NE 90SE 0SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 25.0N 66.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 27.0N 67.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 59.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |
