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| #461800 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:44 AM 25.Sep.2011) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011 1500 UTC SUN SEP 25 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 60.4W AT 25/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT.......180NE 180SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 120SE 90SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 60.4W AT 25/1500Z AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.2N 60.0W FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.8N 61.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...180NE 150SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 19.6N 62.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...180NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 20.6N 64.1W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...180NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 21.4N 65.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...180NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 22.9N 66.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...180NE 90SE 0SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 25.0N 67.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 27.5N 67.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N 60.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
