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| #461803 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 AM 25.Sep.2011) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011 1100 AM AST SUN SEP 25 2011 ...OPHELIA MAKES A JOG TOWARD THE WEST BUT EXPECTED TO TURN BACK TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.3N 60.4W ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.4 WEST. OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TODAY...WITH TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED TONIGHT AND MONDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. HOWEVER...OPHELIA COULD BECOME A POST-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA LATER TODAY IF THUNDERSTORMS DO NOT REDEVELOP NEAR THE CENTER. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES... 335 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
