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| #461808 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:02 AM 25.Sep.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011 1500 UTC SUN SEP 25 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 30.7W AT 25/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 40NE 20SE 20SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 30.7W AT 25/1500Z AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 30.2W FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 13.3N 32.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 14.4N 33.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 15.5N 34.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 35NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 16.7N 35.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.3N 37.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...105NE 90SE 60SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 22.5N 38.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 26.0N 38.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 30.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
