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#461880 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:44 PM 25.Sep.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011 2100 UTC SUN SEP 25 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 31.7W AT 25/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 20SE 40SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 20SE 0SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 31.7W AT 25/2100Z AT 25/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 31.3W FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 14.0N 33.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 15.1N 34.7W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 50SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 16.1N 35.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 17.3N 36.9W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 20.0N 38.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 22.5N 39.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 30/1800Z 25.0N 39.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 31.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0300Z $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY/STEWART |