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| #462045 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:32 AM 26.Sep.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011 1500 UTC MON SEP 26 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 34.2W AT 26/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 45SE 45SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 34.2W AT 26/1500Z AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 33.9W FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 16.0N 35.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 17.0N 36.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.0N 37.1W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 19.1N 38.2W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 22.0N 40.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 60SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 24.5N 40.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 26.0N 39.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 34.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
