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| #46209 (Received by flhurricane at: 7:49 PM 15.Sep.2005) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 39A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 PM EDT THU SEP 15 2005 ...OPHELIA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM WHILE MOVING ERRATICALLY EASTWARD... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS FROM WOODS HOLE NORTHWARD TO CAPE COD AND PLYMOUTH...INCLUDING MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 75.1 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. OPHELIA HAS BEEN MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 5 MPH...AND AN EAST-NORTHEASTWARD TO NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER SINCE STEERING CURRENTS ARE WEAK...SOME ERRATIC MOTION MAY OCCUR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE AND WSR-88D DOPPLER RADAR INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES FROM THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES. MAXIMUM COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. A STORM SURGE OF 6 TO 8 FEET IS POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS AND RIVERS. OPHELIA MAY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...34.6 N... 75.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...EAST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER PASCH |
