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| #462238 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 AM 27.Sep.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011 0900 UTC TUE SEP 27 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 35.1W AT 27/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 60SW 45NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 35.1W AT 27/0900Z AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 34.9W FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 16.7N 35.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 17.6N 37.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 18.7N 38.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 19.9N 39.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 22.3N 40.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 45NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 24.0N 41.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 25.0N 42.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 35.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |
