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#462434 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 PM 27.Sep.2011) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011 1100 PM AST TUE SEP 27 2011 ...OPHELIA EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.4N 59.5W ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.5 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH-NORTHWEST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...OPHELIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |