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| #462440 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:03 PM 27.Sep.2011) TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011 0300 UTC WED SEP 28 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 59.5W AT 28/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 35 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 59.5W AT 28/0300Z AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.3N 59.5W FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.8N 59.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 45SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 19.5N 60.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.9N 60.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.4N 61.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 26.3N 62.7W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 45SE 35SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 32.0N 61.5W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 40.0N 57.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 59.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
