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| #46249 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:58 AM 16.Sep.2005) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 40A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 AM EDT FRI SEP 16 2005 ...OPHELIA WEAKENING AS IT MEANDERS OFF THE OUTER BANKS... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER... INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM POINT JUDITH RHODE ISLAND EASTWARD AND NORTHWARD TO CAPE COD AND PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 74.8 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. OPHELIA HAS DRIFTED TO THE NORTH OVER THE LAST FEW HOURS. A GENERAL NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK HOWEVER...AND A CONTINUED ERRATIC MOTION IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES FROM THE CENTER...MAINLY TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES. MAXIMUM COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. A STORM SURGE OF 6 TO 8 FEET IS POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS AND RIVERS. STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD SUBSIDE LATER TODAY. OPHELIA WILL LIKELY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF LESS THAN AN INCH ACROSS FAR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...34.7 N... 74.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWARD DRIFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
