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| #462508 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 AM 28.Sep.2011) TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011 0900 UTC WED SEP 28 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 60.0W AT 28/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 60.0W AT 28/0900Z AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 59.7W FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 19.2N 60.1W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 45NE 45SE 0SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.4N 60.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.8N 61.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 23.4N 62.2W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 27.7N 62.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 35SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 34.0N 61.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 43.5N 55.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 60.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI |
