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| #462667 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 PM 28.Sep.2011) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011 2100 UTC WED SEP 28 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 60.6W AT 28/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 0SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 0SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 60.6W AT 28/2100Z AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 60.4W FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 20.2N 61.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 21.6N 61.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 23.3N 62.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 25.2N 63.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 31.0N 62.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 75SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 40.0N 59.0W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 03/1800Z 52.0N 49.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 60.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
