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| #46275 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:40 AM 16.Sep.2005) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005 0900Z FRI SEP 16 2005 AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA FROM YARMOUTH TO LUNENBERG. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER... INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM POINT JUDITH RHODE ISLAND TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.1N 74.8W AT 16/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 0 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 60SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 90SE 90SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 250SE 175SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.1N 74.8W AT 16/0900Z AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.7N 74.8W FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 36.1N 74.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 90SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 38.0N 72.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 41.0N 69.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 44.0N 64.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 48.5N 51.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 0NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 52.0N 36.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 54.0N 21.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.1N 74.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z FORECASTER FRANKLIN |
