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#46277 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:43 AM 16.Sep.2005) TCPAT1 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT FRI SEP 16 2005 ...OPHELIA BEGINS TO MOVE NORTHWARD... AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR SOUTHWESTERN NOVA SCOTIA FROM YARMOUTH TO LUNENBERG. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER... INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM POINT JUDITH RHODE ISLAND TO PLYMOUTH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA WAS LOCATED BY RECONAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 35.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 74.8 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES... 65 KM...EAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH ... 7 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES ...165 KM MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. MAXIMUM COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS. A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS AND RIVERS. STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE TODAY. NO SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA OR SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA. REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...35.1 N... 74.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN |