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| #462801 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 PM 28.Sep.2011) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011 0300 UTC THU SEP 29 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 60.7W AT 29/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 75SE 0SW 75NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 60.7W AT 29/0300Z AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 60.5W FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 20.3N 61.3W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...105NE 90SE 30SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 21.9N 62.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 45SE 25SW 35NW. 34 KT...120NE 105SE 45SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.7N 62.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 70NE 55SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT...135NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 26.1N 63.1W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.5N 62.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 75SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 43.0N 57.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 54.0N 47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N 60.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
