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| #462866 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 AM 29.Sep.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011 0900 UTC THU SEP 29 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 41.7W AT 29/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......150NE 60SE 0SW 45NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 30SE 30SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 41.7W AT 29/0900Z AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 41.3W FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.6N 43.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 60SE 0SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 19.9N 45.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...130NE 60SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 21.3N 46.8W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 20SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 60SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 22.3N 48.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 0SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 23.9N 52.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 0SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 24.5N 56.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 24.5N 60.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 41.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
