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| #463187 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:53 AM 30.Sep.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011 0900 UTC FRI SEP 30 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 44.9W AT 30/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 50 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 30SE 0SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 45SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.9N 44.9W AT 30/0900Z AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 44.5W FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 22.9N 46.2W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 50SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 23.9N 47.9W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 30SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 24.5N 49.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 30SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.9N 51.6W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 20SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 25.1N 55.4W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 25.0N 58.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 24.5N 62.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.9N 44.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN |
