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| #463241 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:39 AM 30.Sep.2011) TCMAT1 HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011 1500 UTC FRI SEP 30 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO BERMUDA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 62.8W AT 30/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB EYE DIAMETER 10 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT.......150NE 150SE 60SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..240NE 120SE 90SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 62.8W AT 30/1500Z AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 62.7W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 25.2N 63.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...165NE 165SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 28.5N 63.0W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 32.1N 62.2W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 45NE 40SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 37.0N 60.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 46.0N 52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 70SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...150NE 200SE 90SW 75NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 52.0N 32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 62.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
