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| #463247 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:53 AM 30.Sep.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 26 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011 1500 UTC FRI SEP 30 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 45.3W AT 30/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 30SE 20SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.9N 45.3W AT 30/1500Z AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.6N 44.9W FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 23.8N 46.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 45SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 24.6N 48.5W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 45SE 20SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 25.3N 50.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 25.7N 51.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 15SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 25.5N 55.5W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 25.0N 60.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 26.0N 62.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.9N 45.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
