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| #463315 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:51 PM 30.Sep.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011 2100 UTC FRI SEP 30 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 46.2W AT 30/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 30SE 20SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 46.2W AT 30/2100Z AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 45.8W FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 24.2N 47.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 45SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 25.0N 49.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 25.7N 51.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 26.1N 53.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 26.0N 57.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 26.5N 61.0W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 28.5N 61.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.5N 46.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
