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#463475 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 PM 01.Oct.2011) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE ADVISORY NUMBER 31 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011 500 PM AST SAT OCT 01 2011 ...PHILIPPE STRONGER THAN PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.2N 49.1W ABOUT 1070 MI...1720 KM ESE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...996 MB...29.41 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.1 WEST. PHILIPPE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A WESTWARD MOTION ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS PHILIPPE IS IMPACTED BY STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BERG |