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| #463484 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:41 AM 02.Oct.2011) TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE OPHELIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 38A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011 200 AM AST SUN OCT 02 2011 ...OPHELIA MOVING NORTHWARD AS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...34.9N 62.0W ABOUT 235 MI...375 KM NE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 935 MI...1510 KM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 26 MPH...43 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...940 MB...27.76 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE OPHELIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.0 WEST. OPHELIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 26 MPH...43 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH- NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED SHOULD BEGIN LATER TODAY. THE CENTER OF OPHELIA IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND ON MONDAY. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OPHELIA IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN LATER TODAY...WITH MORE RAPID WEAKENING EXPECTED TO BEGIN TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 940 MB...27.76 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE AVALON PENINSULA BY EARLY MONDAY. SURF...LARGE SWELLS CREATED BY OPHELIA WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS ON BERMUDA. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST. $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
