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| #463628 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 AM 02.Oct.2011) TCMAT1 HURRICANE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011 1500 UTC SUN OCT 02 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE AVALON PENINSULA OF NEWFOUNDLAND HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.7N 60.9W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 27 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 958 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 45NE 45SE 40SW 35NW. 34 KT.......160NE 160SE 80SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 480SE 300SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.7N 60.9W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.4N 61.4W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 42.4N 59.0W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 35SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 60SE 60SW 30NW. 34 KT...180NE 180SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 46.4N 53.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 120SE 100SW 0NW. 34 KT...180NE 240SE 200SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 49.6N 43.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 120SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 0NE 240SE 240SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 52.0N 32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 240SE 240SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z...ABSORBED BY FRONT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.7N 60.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
