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| #463630 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:50 AM 02.Oct.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011 1500 UTC SUN OCT 02 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 51.7W AT 02/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 90NE 75SE 45SW 90NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 120SE 90SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.3N 51.7W AT 02/1500Z AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.2N 51.2W FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 26.5N 53.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 26.3N 55.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 26.2N 57.7W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 26.3N 59.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 28.0N 62.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 30.0N 60.5W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 32.5N 56.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.3N 51.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
