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#463853 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 AM 03.Oct.2011) TCMAT1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 44 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162011 1500 UTC MON OCT 03 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... ENVIRONMENT CANADA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE AVALON PENINSULA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... NONE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 48.1N 52.0W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 32 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 996 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......150NE 250SE 175SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 540SE 420SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 48.1N 52.0W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 47.3N 54.1W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 50.0N 43.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 200SE 240SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 52.0N 32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 180SE 240SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z...ABSORBED BY FRONT REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 48.1N 52.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON OPHELIA. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BROWN |