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| #463858 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:56 AM 03.Oct.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011 1500 UTC MON OCT 03 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 55.8W AT 03/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 35NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 40SW 70NW. 12 FT SEAS..330NE 150SE 90SW 270NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 55.8W AT 03/1500Z AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.8N 54.9W FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 25.0N 57.4W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 25.2N 59.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 25.7N 60.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 26.5N 60.8W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 28.5N 59.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 30.5N 55.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 32.5N 50.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.8N 55.8W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
