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| #463908 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:38 PM 03.Oct.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 39 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011 2100 UTC MON OCT 03 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 56.6W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 35NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 45SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..180NE 90SE 60SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.6N 56.6W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 56.0W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 24.5N 58.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 24.8N 60.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 25.2N 61.6W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 25.8N 61.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 27.5N 61.0W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 105SE 75SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 29.0N 58.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 30.5N 54.5W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.6N 56.6W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BERG |
