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| #464049 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 AM 04.Oct.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011 1500 UTC TUE OCT 04 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 59.4W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 35NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 45SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 59.4W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 58.8W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 24.0N 60.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 30SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 24.5N 61.8W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 25.4N 62.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 26.5N 62.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 28.5N 58.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 60SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 31.0N 53.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 36.0N 47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.9N 59.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN |
