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#464098 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:32 PM 04.Oct.2011) TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE ADVISORY NUMBER 43 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011 500 PM AST TUE OCT 04 2011 ...PHILIPPE EXPECTED TO TURN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD SOON... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.1N 60.0W ABOUT 635 MI...1025 KM SSE OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.0 WEST. PHILIPPE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H. A SHARP TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH SOME ACCELERATION ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND PHILIPPE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- NONE NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BERG |