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#464235 (Received by flhurricane at: 11:02 AM 05.Oct.2011) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 46 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011 1500 UTC WED OCT 05 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 61.3W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 75SE 45SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.3N 61.3W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N 61.2W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 26.0N 61.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 27.0N 60.8W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 28.2N 59.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 105SE 75SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 29.3N 57.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 50SE 30SW 0NW. 34 KT... 90NE 105SE 75SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 34.0N 50.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 75SE 60SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 40.5N 45.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 46.0N 38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.3N 61.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA/BROWN |