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#464442 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:47 AM 06.Oct.2011)
TCMAT2

HURRICANE PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 50
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011
1500 UTC THU OCT 06 2011

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 60.0W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 45SW 45NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 90SE 30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N 60.0W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 60.4W

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 28.6N 59.0W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 90SE 60SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 29.6N 56.7W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 105SE 75SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 31.0N 53.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 105SE 90SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 33.4N 49.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 135SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 39.5N 45.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 240SW 240NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 45.0N 41.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 51.5N 37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.8N 60.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/PASCH