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| #464496 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:53 PM 06.Oct.2011) TCMAT2 HURRICANE PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 51 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011 2100 UTC THU OCT 06 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 59.0W AT 06/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 11 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 75SE 45SW 45NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 145SE 45SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 59.0W AT 06/2100Z AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.3N 59.5W FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 29.5N 57.7W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 75NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 30.4N 55.2W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 30SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 105SE 75SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.9N 51.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...105NE 120SE 105SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 35.3N 47.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 90SE 60SW 60NW. 34 KT...135NE 180SE 180SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 40.5N 44.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 70NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. 34 KT...150NE 240SE 240SW 240NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 45.0N 41.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 54.0N 34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.7N 59.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA/PASCH |
