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| #464530 (Received by flhurricane at: 8:05 AM 07.Oct.2011) TCMAT2 HURRICANE PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 53 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172011 0900 UTC FRI OCT 07 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N 56.3W AT 07/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 65 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 30SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT....... 65NE 65SE 75SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 150SE 60SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.6N 56.3W AT 07/0900Z AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.3N 57.1W FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 30.5N 54.0W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 32.5N 50.5W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 75SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 36.0N 46.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT... 50NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 40.0N 45.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT...180NE 150SE 150SW 180NW. 34 KT...270NE 360SE 270SW 270NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 44.0N 41.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 100SE 90SW 0NW. 34 KT...240NE 270SE 210SW 240NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 51.0N 36.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 61.0N 30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.6N 56.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/1500Z $$ FORECASTER AVILA |
