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| #46513 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:37 AM 17.Sep.2005) TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM OPHELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 46 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162005 1500Z SAT SEP 17 2005 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NOVA SCOTIA EXCEPT FOR CUMBERLAND AND COLCHESTER COUNTIES. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUMBERLAND AND COLCHESTER COUNTIES OF NOVA SCOTIA...AND FOR PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...ALL WARNINGS FOR THE COAST OF MASSACHUSETTS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.7N 69.0W AT 17/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 18 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT. 50 KT....... 75NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT.......120NE 150SE 90SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS..200NE 250SE 175SW 75NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.7N 69.0W AT 17/1500Z AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 69.8W FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 43.4N 65.3W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 75NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...120NE 150SE 90SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 46.4N 59.8W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 75NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 48.8N 53.8W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 50.5N 47.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 54.0N 32.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 100SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 59.0N 16.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 64.0N 7.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.7N 69.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z FORECASTER BEVEN |
