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| #468031 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:39 PM 23.Oct.2011) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM RINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011 0300 UTC MON OCT 24 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA CASTILLA EASTWARD TO THE NICARAGUAN BORDER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 82.2W AT 24/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 60SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 0SE 40SW 40NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 82.2W AT 24/0300Z AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 82.0W FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 16.8N 82.6W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 17.3N 83.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.5N 84.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.7N 85.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 35SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.9N 86.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 45NE 35SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 18.9N 87.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 20.0N 87.4W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 82.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
