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| #468082 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 AM 24.Oct.2011) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM RINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011 0900 UTC MON OCT 24 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM PUNTA CASTILLA EASTWARD TO THE NICARAGUAN BORDER A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 82.3W AT 24/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 0SE 60SW 80NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 82.3W AT 24/0900Z AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 82.2W FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 17.0N 82.9W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.4N 83.6W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 50SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.5N 84.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.6N 85.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 18.5N 86.5W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 19.5N 87.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 20.5N 87.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N 82.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH |
