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#468124 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:38 AM 24.Oct.2011) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM RINA ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011 1100 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2011 ...RINA FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE ON TUESDAY... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.1N 82.9W ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM SW OF GRAND CAYMAN ABOUT 370 MI...595 KM ESE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF HONDURAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF HONDURAS. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... NONE INTERESTS IN BELIZE...THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RINA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.9 WEST. RINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...AND A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND RINA IS FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY TUESDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- RAINFALL...RINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ALONG THE NORTHEAST COAST OF HONDURAS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT. $$ FORECASTER BROWN/ROBERTS |