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| #468514 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:59 AM 26.Oct.2011) TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE RINA ADVISORY NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011 1000 AM CDT WED OCT 26 2011 ...RINA NOW MOVING SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD...NEW WARNINGS ISSUED FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.9N 85.5W ABOUT 200 MI...325 KM SSE OF COZUMEL MEXICO ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM ESE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE NORTHEAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CANCUN TO SAN FELIPE. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTH COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO PROGRESO. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE NORTHEAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM NORTH OF PUNTA GRUESA TO SAN FELIPE A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO PUNTA GRUESA * THE NORTH COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA WEST OF SAN FELIPE TO PROGRESO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD * THE HONDURAN BAY ISLANDS OF ROATAN AND GUANAJA PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RINA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.5 WEST. RINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH ON THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF RINA WILL BE MOVING NEAR OR OVER THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA ON THURSDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RINA IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. A GRADUAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TODAY...AND A FASTER WEAKENING MAY OCCUR AS THE CENTER MOVES NEAR OR OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE CENTER OF RINA. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 967 MB...28.56 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA LATER TODAY...MAKING OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY EARLY THURSDAY. RAINFALL...RINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 16 INCHES OVER THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND COZUMEL THROUGH FRIDAY. STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK OF THE CENTER. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM CDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
