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| #468765 (Received by flhurricane at: 1:50 PM 27.Oct.2011) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM RINA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 18A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011 100 PM CDT THU OCT 27 2011 ...RINA MOVING NORTHWARD NEAR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.5N 87.1W ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM S OF COZUMEL MEXICO ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM NE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE EAST AND NORTH COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO PROGRESO PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RINA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.1 WEST. RINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE EAST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED ON FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF RINA WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE SPREADING ONTO THE COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. THESE CONDITIONS SHOULD SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. RAINFALL...RINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND COZUMEL THROUGH FRIDAY WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES. STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK OF THE CENTER. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
