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| #468803 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:35 PM 27.Oct.2011) TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM RINA ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011 400 PM CDT THU OCT 27 2011 ...AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER REPORTS THAT RINA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...19.8N 87.2W ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM SSW OF COZUMEL MEXICO ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM NE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA SOUTH OF PUNTA GRUESA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE EAST AND NORTH COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA GRUESA TO PROGRESO PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE WARNING AREA. INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RINA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.2 WEST. RINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. A TURN TOWARD THE EAST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK... THE CENTER OF RINA SHOULD MOVE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA TONIGHT...AND THEN BE NEAR OR OVER THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS ON FRIDAY. REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND RINA COULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY SATURDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE SPREADING ONTO THE COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. THESE CONDITIONS SHOULD SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE COAST AND THE ADJACENT ISLANDS IN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT. RAINFALL...RINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE EASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA AND COZUMEL THROUGH FRIDAY WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 10 INCHES. STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF THE TRACK OF THE CENTER. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS WAVES. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT. $$ FORECASTER BEVEN |
