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| #468912 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:41 AM 28.Oct.2011) TCMAT3 TROPICAL STORM RINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182011 0900 UTC FRI OCT 28 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * THE EAST AND NORTH COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PUNTA ALLEN TO SAN FELIPE TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 87.0W AT 28/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 998 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. 34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 20SW 30NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 87.0W AT 28/0900Z AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.9N 87.1W FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 21.5N 86.8W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 25SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 21.3N 86.4W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 20.6N 86.1W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 20.0N 86.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 19.2N 86.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 17.9N 86.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 17.0N 87.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 87.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
