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| #471149 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:35 AM 08.Nov.2011) TCMAT4 SUBTROPICAL STORM SEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192011 0900 UTC TUE NOV 08 2011 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 69.4W AT 08/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......300NE 0SE 150SW 330NW. 12 FT SEAS..400NE 350SE 300SW 400NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.2N 69.4W AT 08/0900Z AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.0N 69.6W FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 27.2N 69.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...300NE 0SE 150SW 330NW. FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 27.4N 70.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...330NE 150SE 150SW 330NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 28.2N 70.5W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...330NE 150SE 150SW 300NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 29.2N 70.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...290NE 150SE 90SW 250NW. FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 31.5N 68.8W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...250NE 150SE 50SW 225NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 37.5N 59.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.2N 69.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z $$ FORECASTER STEWART |
