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| #471213 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:50 AM 08.Nov.2011) TCMAT4 SUBTROPICAL STORM SEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192011 1500 UTC TUE NOV 08 2011 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS. SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 69.4W AT 08/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......300NE 0SE 150SW 330NW. 12 FT SEAS..400NE 350SE 300SW 400NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N 69.4W AT 08/1500Z AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.6N 69.4W FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 27.8N 69.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...300NE 90SE 150SW 330NW. FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 28.2N 70.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...300NE 150SE 150SW 300NW. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 29.2N 70.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...300NE 150SE 150SW 300NW. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 30.2N 70.4W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...270NE 120SE 90SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 33.5N 66.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...240NE 150SE 60SW 210NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 40.0N 55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z...ABSORBED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.7N 69.4W NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |
