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#471474 (Received by flhurricane at: 9:56 AM 09.Nov.2011) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM SEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192011 1000 AM EST WED NOV 09 2011 ...SEAN A LITTLE STRONGER AS IT TURNS TO THE NORTHWEST... SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.9N 70.5W ABOUT 455 MI...735 KM SW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.35 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 1000 AM EST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.5 WEST. SEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF SEAN IS EXPECTED TO PASS NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA ON FRIDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...WITH WEAKENING LIKELY ON FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BY THURSDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL...SEAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN ON BERMUDA. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY SEAN ARE EXPECTED TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES AND BERMUDA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR MORE DETAILS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 PM EST. NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM EST. $$ FORECASTER BLAKE |