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#471800 (Received by flhurricane at: 6:35 PM 10.Nov.2011) TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM SEAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192011 800 PM AST THU NOV 10 2011 ...SEAN EXPECTED TO PASS NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA EARLY FRIDAY... SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.0N 69.0W ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM WSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR... * BERMUDA INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.0 WEST. SEAN HAS BEEN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. HOWEVER...A NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME TONIGHT AND CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE SEAN SHOULD PASS TO THE NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA FRIDAY MORNING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...AND SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST ON FRIDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255 MILES...410 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES. HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON BERMUDA LATE THIS EVENING. RAINFALL...SEAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN ON BERMUDA. SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY SEAN ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES AND BERMUDA...CAUSING LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR MORE DETAILS. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST. $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN |