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#47643 (Received by flhurricane at: 4:34 AM 22.Sep.2005) TCMAT2 TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172005 0900Z THU SEP 22 2005 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 57.2W AT 22/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 75 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS..125NE 125SE 0SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.3N 57.2W AT 22/0900Z AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 57.1W FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 25.5N 57.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 28.1N 59.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT...100NE 100SE 25SW 25NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 30.5N 60.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...125NE 125SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 32.5N 59.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 125SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 35.0N 54.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...150NE 150SE 40SW 40NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 37.0N 48.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 38.5N 41.5W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.3N 57.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z FORECASTER PASCH |