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#4813 (Received by flhurricane at: 2:15 PM 13.Aug.2004) TCDAT3 HURRICANE CHARLEY SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 18 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004 RECENT AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE REPORTS ALONG WITH RADAR AND SATELLITE DATA SHOW THAT WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 125 KT. THE TRACK HAS ALSO SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY FORECAST WHICH SHIFTS THE GREATEST RISK TO THE AREA OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR FLORIDA. THESE CHANGES REQUIRE THE ISSUANCE OF THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY. FORECASTER LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 13/1800Z 26.0N 82.4W 125 KT 12HR VT 14/0000Z 27.5N 81.8W 100 KT...INLAND 24HR VT 14/1200Z 31.5N 80.0W 65 KT...OVER WATER 36HR VT 15/0000Z 36.0N 77.5W 50 KT...INLAND 48HR VT 15/1200Z 40.5N 74.5W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 72HR VT 16/1200Z 46.5N 68.5W 30 KT...EXTRATROPICAL 96HR VT 17/1200Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM |