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#48300 (Received by flhurricane at: 10:43 AM 24.Sep.2005) TCMAT3 HURRICANE RITA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182005 1500Z SAT SEP 24 2005 AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WARNING. AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF LOUISIANA EAST OF MORGAN CITY TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 94.3W AT 24/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 960 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 30SE 25SW 25NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 40SE 45SW 45NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 120SE 50SW 50NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 175SE 175SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.0N 94.3W AT 24/1500Z AT 24/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 94.2W FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 32.5N 94.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 34.0N 93.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 34.5N 92.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 34.5N 91.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 34.5N 90.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 34.5N 90.0W...REMNANT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 34.5N 90.0W...DISSIPATING MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.0N 94.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/2100Z FORECASTER AVILA |